DBS Group Research on 4 April 2012
Total capital expenditure (capex) of the vessel is expected to be US$55 million, of which 70 per cent will be debt-funded. Ezion's capex will increase to US$347 million for FY12, bringing its projected net gearing (post-placement) to 0.77 times as at the end of FY12. Notwithstanding, we are positive on this development as it enhances Ezion's visible and long-term earnings stream - we estimate this vessel will add about US$5.5 million per year to the bottom line in FY13-16. With an ROE of about 30 per cent, payback period would be around 3.3 years.
With the contract to contribute from Q1 FY13 onwards, we keep FY12 earnings estimate intact but raise FY13 earnings estimate by 5.7 per cent. Our TP is lifted to S$1.29, pegged to an unchanged 11 times blended FY12/13 PE. Maintain 'buy' for Ezion's solid earnings growth profile (FY11-13 earnings CAGR of 43 per cent), high earnings visibility, good execution track record, and undemanding valuations of 10.6 times/7 times FY12/13 PEs.
BUY
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