Thursday 24 January 2013

Frasers Centrepoint Trust

OCBC on 24 Jan 2013

Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) reported DPU of 2.40 S cents for 1QFY13, representing a YoY growth of 9.1%. This is largely in line with expectations, given that the quarterly DPU met 22% of both our and consensus FY13F DPU estimates. Causeway Point (CWP) and Northpoint remained the key drivers for the quarter, generating 12.3% and 6.7% YoY increase in NPI. Operationally, we note the overall portfolio occupancy improved from 93.6% in prior quarter to 97.2%. This was boosted by an 8.7ppt QoQ improvement in occupancy at CWP to 96.4% following the completion of its AEI. Management revealed that several new tenants are still in the process of fitting out at CWP and expects the occupancy to trend up further when more tenants commence their operations from Jan onwards. FCT currently boasts a strong aggregate leverage of circa 30.9% and extended debt maturity of 3.6 years following the recent issue of S$70m MTN. This is likely to put it in good stead to take any attractive acquisition opportunities as they arise. Maintain BUY with an unchanged fair value of S$2.13 on FCT.

Continued growth in 1QFY13
Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) reported 1QFY13 NPI of S$27.1m and distributable income of S$21.8m, up 9.1% and 10.8% YoY respectively. Of the available distributable income, we note that S$2.1m will be retained this quarter, as opposed to S$1.6m in 1QFY12. As such, DPU for the quarter came in at 2.40 S cents, representing a YoY growth of 9.1%. This is largely in line with expectations, given that the quarterly DPU met 22% of both our and consensus FY13F DPU estimates.

Operating indicators largely positive
All the five malls within FCT’s portfolio registered healthy growth in income during the quarter. However, Causeway Point (CWP) and Northpoint remained the key drivers, generating 12.3% and 6.7% YoY increase in NPI. Operationally, we note the overall portfolio occupancy improved from 93.6% in prior quarter to 97.2%. This was boosted by an 8.7ppt QoQ improvement in occupancy at CWP to 96.4% following the completion of its AEI, which cushioned the temporary weakness at Bedok Point amid a reconfiguration of its layout. Overall, a total of 62,341 sqft of NLA (7.1% of portfolio NLA) was renewed at an average positive rental reversion of 5.2% in 1Q (4QFY12: 8.9%). Management also revealed that several new tenants are still in the process of fitting out at CWP and expects the occupancy to trend up further when more tenants commence their operations from Jan onwards.

Maintain BUY
On the acquisition front, we understand that Changi City Point remains a feasible pipeline asset, but the regulatory procedures for the strata division into its retail, business park and hospitality components is a lengthy process. FCT currently boasts a strong aggregate leverage of circa 30.9% and extended debt maturity of 3.6 years following the recent issue of S$70m MTN. This is likely to put it in good stead to take any attractive acquisition opportunities as they arise. Maintain BUY with an unchanged fair value of S$2.13 on FCT.

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