Tuesday, 22 April 2014

CapitaCommercial Trust

OCBC on 21 Apr 2014

1Q14 distributable income increased 7.6% to S$59.9m mostly due to stronger contributions from portfolio assets and lower interest expenses. 1Q figures were mostly within expectations and YTD distributable income now constitutes 25.6% of our full year forecast. We note that the Trust enjoyed higher revenues from all properties due to a mix of stronger occupancies and positive rental reversions, except for One George St which was impacted by the cessation of yield protection income. 1Q14 DPU of 1.94 S-cents translates to a 5.2% yield as at the last closing price of S$1.635. As our top pick in the REITs sector, CCT has outperformed significantly YTD, appreciating 12.8% versus the STI’s 2.7% movement over this period. We update our model for latest rental assumptions, and our fair value increases marginally to S$1.67 from S$1.61 previously. At this juncture, however, we believe CCT is almost fully valued; downgrade to HOLD on valuation grounds.

Good start to the year
1Q14 distributable income increased 7.6% to S$59.9m mostly due to stronger contributions from portfolio assets and lower interest expenses. 1Q figures were mostly within expectations and YTD distributable income now constitutes 25.6% of our full year forecast. Topline for the quarter came in 8.5% higher YoY at S$57.1m versus S$52.6m in 1Q13 (restated due to the adoption of FRS 111 which reclassified income from RCS Trust and MSO Trust under “share of results of JV”). We note that the Trust enjoyed higher revenues from all properties due to a mix of stronger occupancies and positive rental reversions, except for One George St which was impacted by the cessation of yield protection income. 1Q14 DPU of 1.94 S-cents translates to a 5.2% yield as at the last closing price of S$1.635.

CapitaGreen now 12% pre-committed
Portfolio occupancy came up to 99.4%, up 70 bps from 98.7% as of end 4Q13. We continue to see positive rental reversions across CCT’s portfolio assets, with average committed office portfolio rentals increasing to S$8.22 psf as at end 1Q14 from S$8.13 as at end 4Q13. Management highlights that more than two thirds of leases expiring in FY14 has been renewed. Greenfield asset CapitaGreen remains on track to complete by end FY14 and the Trust has already pre-leased 12% of the 0.7m sq ft net lettable area to Cargill, Bordier & Cie and an international gym operator. Management expects to achieve commitment levels of ~50% by completion.

Downgrade to HOLD on valuation grounds
As our top pick in the REITs sector, CCT has outperformed significantly YTD, appreciating 12.8% versus the STI’s 2.7% movement over this period. We update our model for latest rental assumptions, and our fair value increases marginally to S$1.67 from S$1.61 previously. At this juncture, however, we believe CCT is almost fully valued; downgrade to HOLD on valuation grounds.

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