Thursday, 24 April 2014

Frasers Centrepoint Trust

OCBC on 23 Apr 2014

Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) reported 2QFY14 DPU of 2.88 S cents, up 6.7% YoY. This is largely within our view, given that first-half DPU of 5.38 S cents met 47.8% of our FY14F DPU. We note that portfolio occupancy has maintained steady at 96.8% (1Q: 96.7%), while rental reversions stayed robust at 9.3% (1Q: +2.5%) for the leases renewed during the quarter. Looking ahead, FCT reiterated that Causeway Point and Northpoint are expected to underpin growth within its existing portfolio, as both malls contribute to the bulk of the lease renewals in FY14-15. As announced on 8 Apr, FCT has proposed to acquire Changi City Point for S$305.0m. We view this addition as timely, as it will provide another boost to DPU in an otherwise moderating growth portfolio. Maintain BUY with unchanged S$2.02 fair value on FCT.

Consistent set of 2QFY14 results
Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) reported its 2QFY14 scorecard last evening. NPI and distributable income grew by 2.0% and 1.4% YoY to S$29.3m and S$23.8m respectively. The better performance was driven mainly by higher revenue from Causeway Point (CWP), though partially offset by higher property taxes, maintenance costs and property manager’s fees. No cash was retained during the quarter, as opposed to S$1.2m cash reserved in prior year. As such, DPU grew at a faster pace of 6.7% YoY to 2.88 S cents. This is largely within our view, given that first-half DPU of 5.38 S cents met 47.8% of our FY14F DPU (consensus: 48.9%).

Disruptions from Bedok Point; portfolio steady
On first look, headline figures such as a 7.6% YoY decline in shopper traffic to 20.4m and 19.5ppt YoY drop in Bedok Point’s occupancy to 77.0% have raised concerns. However, we understand that the fall in shopper traffic was mainly impacted by on-going refurbishment works at Bedok Point and CWP. Management projects the occupancy at Bedok Point to recover to above 95% in 2HCY14 after the lease commencement of several new tenants, which we believe will bring about improvements in occupancy and footfall. Overall, we note that portfolio occupancy has maintained steady at 96.8% (1Q: 96.7%), while rental reversions stayed robust at 9.3% (1Q: +2.5%) for the leases renewed during the quarter.

Maintain BUY with unchanged S$2.02 fair value
Looking ahead, FCT reiterated that CWP and Northpoint are expected to underpin growth within its existing portfolio, as both malls contribute to the bulk of the lease renewals in FY14-15. As announced on 8 Apr, FCT has proposed to acquire Changi City Point for S$305.0m. No additional colour was given on the transaction, except that FCT intends to finance it using a combination of debt and equity (via private placement), and that the deal is expected to be DPU-accretive. We view this addition as timely, as it will provide another boost to DPU in an otherwise moderating growth portfolio. Maintain BUY with unchanged S$2.02 fair value on FCT.

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